Spain Opens as Betting Favorite for 2030 World Cup
Ethan Moore 
Key Takeaways:
- Spain is the +450 favorite at DraftKings to win in 2030.
- The 2026 final was the most-bet soccer match for BetMGM.
- France, England, and Portugal trail Spain in 2030 futures odds.
With the 2026 World Cup officially complete, bookmakers are already looking ahead four years to the 2030 tournament. Following their recent victory, co-host Spain has opened as the consensus betting favorite across the sportsbook marketplace to repeat as world champions. DraftKings Sportsbook currently lists La Roja at +450 odds, which is already shorter than the +500 odds they showed on Sunday following their 2026 World Cup victory.
Early 2030 World Cup Odds
Behind Spain, semifinalists France are listed at +600, while England and 2030 co-host Portugal share +900 odds for the third spot on the DraftKings odds board. The 2026 runner-up, Argentina, is tied for the sixth-best odds at 11-1, with fellow 2030 co-host Morocco sitting at a longer 35-1. The United States and Mexico both check in at 80-1 to win the 2030 tournament, shaping the early World Cup betting odds.
Spain entered the 2026 World Cup as the favorite to win it all, becoming just the fourth pre-tournament favorite to lift the trophy. According to data from SportsOddsHistory, they join 1974 West Germany, 1994 Brazil, and the 2010 Spain squad in achieving this feat. While La Roja was well-supported in the futures market, bookmakers noted their short price did not create a large liability, as France, Portugal, and the U.S. represented bigger hazards, a pattern seen across major betting tournaments like the Copa América betting markets.
Record-Breaking 2026 Betting Handle
In general, the 2026 World Cup was a landmark event for Americans betting on soccer. The final between Spain and Argentina became the most-bet soccer match in the histories of both BetMGM and Caesars Sportsbook. BetMGM reported the final outperformed every March Madness, NBA Finals, Stanley Cup Final, and World Series betting event in the last year, as well as every 2026 College Football Playoff game besides the championship.
Caesars Sportsbook noted the final generated 65% more handle than its previous most-bet soccer match, which also occurred during the 2026 tournament. "This record-breaking final capped off a fantastic tournament," Caesars head of soccer Mark Bickerdike said over email. He added, "There was some uncertainty around the impact of an extended tournament format, but World Cup fever took hold following the USMNT's promising start, and that enthusiasm continued throughout the knockout stages and into the final."
